Effect of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors on colorectal cancer incidence and its precursors

Incretin-based antihyperglycemic therapies increase intestinal mucosal expansion and polyp growth in mouse models. We aimed to evaluate the effect of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1ra) initiation on colorectal cancer incidence

More realistic power estimation for new user, active comparator studies: an empirical example: New User Design Power Estimation Considerations

Pharmacoepidemiologic studies are often expected to be sufficiently powered to study rare outcomes, but there is sequential loss of power with implementation of study design options minimizing bias. We illustrate this using a study comparing pancreatic cancer incidence after initiating dipeptidyl-peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) versus thiazolidinediones or sulfonylureas

Cancer Incidence Among Those Initiating Insulin Therapy With Glargine Versus Human NPH Insulin

OBJECTIVE To add to the evidence on comparative long-term effects of insulin analog glargine versus human NPH insulin on the risk for cancer. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We identified cohorts of initiators of glargine and human NPH without an insulin prescription during the prior 19 months among patients covered by the Inovalon Medical Outcomes Research for Effectiveness and Economics Registry (MORE2 Registry) between January 2003 and December 2010. Patients were required to have a second prescription of the same insulin within 180 days and to be free of cancer. We balanced cohorts on risk factors for cancer outcomes based on comorbidities, comedication, and health care use during the prior 12 months using inverse probability of treatment weighting. Incident cancer was defined as having two claims for cancer (any cancer) or the same cancer (breast, prostate, colon) within 2 months. We estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% CI using weighted Cox models censoring for stopping, switching, or augmenting insulin treatment, end of enrollment, and mortality. RESULTS More patients initiated glargine (43,306) than NPH (9,147). Initiators of glargine (NPH) were followed for 1.2 (1.1) years and 50,548 (10,011) person-years; 993 (178) developed cancer. The overall HR was 1.12 (95% CI 0.95–1.32). Results were consistent for breast cancer, prostate cancer, and colon cancer; various durations of treatment; and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS Patients initiating insulin glargine rather than NPH do not seem to be at an increased risk for cancer. While our study contributes significantly to our evidence base for long-term effects, this evidence is very limited mainly based on actual dynamics in insulin prescribing

Analysis of Using the Total White Blood Cell Count to Define Severe New-onset Ulcerative Colitis in Children

Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess common laboratory tests in identifying severe ulcerative colitis in children at diagnosis. Methods: A cohort of 427 children 4 to 17 years of age newly diagnosed with ulcerative colitis (UC) was prospectively enrolled. Boosted classification trees were used to characterize predictive ability of disease attributes based on clinical disease severity using Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis Activity Index (PUCAI), severe (65+) versus not severe (<65) and total Mayo score, severe (10-12) versus not severe (<10); mucosal disease by Mayo endoscopic subscore, severe (3) versus not severe (<3); and extensive disease versus not extensive (left-sided and proctosigmoiditis). Results: Mean age was 12.7 years; 49.6% (n = 212) were girls, and 83% (n = 351) were Caucasian. Severe total Mayo score was present in 28% (n = 120), mean PUCAI score was 49.8 ± 20.1, and 33% (n = 142) had severe mucosal disease with extensive involvement in 82% (n = 353). Classification and regression trees identified white blood cell count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and platelet count (PLT) as the set of 3 best blood laboratory tests to predict disease extent and severity. For mucosal severity, albumin (Alb) replaced PLT. Classification models for PUCAI and total Mayo provided sensitivity of at least 0.65 using standard clinical cut-points with misclassification rates of approximately 30%. Conclusions: A combination of the white blood cell count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and either PLT or albumin is the best predictive subset of standard laboratory tests to identify severe from nonsevere clinical or mucosal disease at diagnosis in relation to objective clinical scores

Finishing the euchromatic sequence of the human genome

The sequence of the human genome encodes the genetic instructions for human physiology, as well as rich information about human evolution. In 2001, the International Human Genome Sequencing Consortium reported a draft sequence of the euchromatic portion of the human genome. Since then, the international collaboration has worked to convert this draft into a genome sequence with high accuracy and nearly complete coverage. Here, we report the result of this finishing process. The current genome sequence (Build 35) contains 2.85 billion nucleotides interrupted by only 341 gaps. It covers ∼99% of the euchromatic genome and is accurate to an error rate of ∼1 event per 100,000 bases. Many of the remaining euchromatic gaps are associated with segmental duplications and will require focused work with new methods. The near-complete sequence, the first for a vertebrate, greatly improves the precision of biological analyses of the human genome including studies of gene number, birth and death. Notably, the human enome seems to encode only 20,000-25,000 protein-coding genes. The genome sequence reported here should serve as a firm foundation for biomedical research in the decades ahead

The Precision Interventions for Severe and/or Exacerbation-Prone (PrecISE) Asthma Network: an overview of Network organization, procedures and interventions

Asthma is a heterogeneous disease, with multiple underlying inflammatory pathways and structural airway abnormalities that impact disease persistence and severity. Recent progress has been made in developing targeted asthma therapeutics, especially for subjects with eosinophilic asthma. However, there is an unmet need for new approaches to treat patients with severe and exacerbation prone asthma, who contribute disproportionately to disease burden. Extensive deep phenotyping has revealed the heterogeneous nature of severe asthma and identified distinct disease subtypes. A current challenge in the field is to translate new and emerging knowledge about different pathobiologic mechanisms in asthma into patient-specific therapies, with the ultimate goal of modifying the natural history of disease. Here we describe the Precision Interventions for Severe and/or Exacerbation Prone Asthma (PrecISE) Network, a groundbreaking collaborative effort of asthma researchers and biostatisticians from around the U.S. The PrecISE Network was designed to conduct phase II/proof of concept clinical trials of precision interventions in the severe asthma population, and is supported by the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health. Using an innovative adaptive platform trial design, the Network will evaluate up to six interventions simultaneously in biomarker-defined subgroups of subjects. We review the development and organizational structure of the Network, and choice of interventions being studied. We hope that the PrecISE Network will enhance our understanding of asthma subtypes and accelerate the development of therapeutics for of severe asthma

COVID-19 symptoms at hospital admission vary with age and sex: results from the ISARIC prospective multinational observational study

Background: The ISARIC prospective multinational observational study is the largest cohort of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. We present relationships of age, sex, and nationality to presenting symptoms. Methods: International, prospective observational study of 60 109 hospitalized symptomatic patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 recruited from 43 countries between 30 January and 3 August 2020. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate relationships of age and sex to published COVID-19 case definitions and the most commonly reported symptoms. Results: ‘Typical’ symptoms of fever (69%), cough (68%) and shortness of breath (66%) were the most commonly reported. 92% of patients experienced at least one of these. Prevalence of typical symptoms was greatest in 30- to 60-year-olds (respectively 80, 79, 69%; at least one 95%). They were reported less frequently in children (≤ 18 years: 69, 48, 23; 85%), older adults (≥ 70 years: 61, 62, 65; 90%), and women (66, 66, 64; 90%; vs. men 71, 70, 67; 93%, each P &lt; 0.001). The most common atypical presentations under 60 years of age were nausea and vomiting and abdominal pain, and over 60 years was confusion. Regression models showed significant differences in symptoms with sex, age and country. Interpretation: This international collaboration has allowed us to report reliable symptom data from the largest cohort of patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19. Adults over 60 and children admitted to hospital with COVID-19 are less likely to present with typical symptoms. Nausea and vomiting are common atypical presentations under 30 years. Confusion is a frequent atypical presentation of COVID-19 in adults over 60 years. Women are less likely to experience typical symptoms than men

Effect of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors on colorectal cancer incidence and its precursors

AIMS: Incretin-based antihyperglycemic therapies increase intestinal mucosal expansion and polyp growth in mouse models. We aimed to evaluate the effect of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1ra) initiation on colorectal cancer incidence. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study on US Medicare beneficiaries over age 66 from 2007-2013 without prevalent cancer. We identified three active-comparator and new-user cohorts: DPP-4i versus thiazolidinediones (TZD), DPP-4i versus sulphonylureas (SU), and GLP-1ra versus long acting insulin (LAI). Follow-up started from six months post second prescription and ended six months after stopping (primary as-treated analysis). We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for incident colorectal cancer adjusting for measured confounders using propensity score weighting. RESULTS: The median duration of treatment ranged 0.7-0.9 years among DPP-4i cohorts. Based on 104 events among 39,334 DPP-4i and 63 events among 25,786 TZD initiators, there was no association between DPP-4i initiation and colorectal cancer (adjusted HR=1.17 (CI: 0.88, 1.71)). There were 73 events among 27,047 DPP-4i and 266 events among 76,012 SU initiators with the adjusted HR: 0.98 (CI: 0.74, 1.30). We identified 5,600 GLP-1ra and 54,767 LAI initiators and the median duration of treatment was 0.8 and 1.2 years, respectively. The adjusted HR was 0.82 (CI: 0.42, 1.58) based on <11 events among GLP-1ra versus 276 events among LAI initiators. CONCLUSION: Although limited by the short duration of treatment, our analyses based on real world drug utilization patterns provide evidence of no short-term effect of incretin-based agents on colorectal cancer

Analysis of Using the Total White Blood Cell Count to Define Severe New-onset Ulcerative Colitis in Children

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess common laboratory tests in identifying severe ulcerative colitis in children at diagnosis. METHODS: A cohort of 427 children 4 to 17 years of age newly diagnosed with ulcerative colitis (UC) was prospectively enrolled. Boosted classification trees were used to characterize predictive ability of disease attributes based on clinical disease severity using Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis Activity Index (PUCAI), severe (65+) versus not severe (<65) and total Mayo score, severe (10–12) versus not severe (<10); mucosal disease by Mayo endoscopic subscore, severe (3) versus not severe (<3); and extensive disease versus not extensive (left-sided and proctosigmoiditis). RESULTS: Mean age was 12.7 years; 49.6% (n = 212) were girls, and 83% (n = 351) were Caucasian. Severe total Mayo score was present in 28% (n = 120), mean PUCAI score was 49.8 ± 20.1, and 33% (n = 142) had severe mucosal disease with extensive involvement in 82% (n = 353). Classification and regression trees identified white blood cell count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and platelet count (PLT) as the set of 3 best blood laboratory tests to predict disease extent and severity. For mucosal severity, albumin (Alb) replaced PLT. Classification models for PUCAI and total Mayo provided sensitivity of at least 0.65 using standard clinical cut-points with misclassification rates of approximately 30%. CONCLUSIONS: A combination of the white blood cell count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and either PLT or albumin is the best predictive subset of standard laboratory tests to identify severe from nonsevere clinical or mucosal disease at diagnosis in relation to objective clinical scores